Th Cavendish Banana is Not The OG

Exploring the extinction of the Gros Michel banana, the threat of Panama disease, and the future of the Cavendish variety.

5 minutes · No politics · Just things worth knowing

Transcript

It's Monday, September twenty-first. My nephew's birthday was today, and at some point during the party he handed me a banana Laffy Taffy. I ate it, made a face, and told him it tasted nothing like a real banana. He didn't know what I was talking about — to him, that's just what banana flavor is. And that stuck with me, because he's right that it doesn't taste like any banana either of us has ever actually eaten. Turns out there's a real reason for that. Banana candy was engineered to match a variety of banana that went commercially extinct sixty years ago. And the banana that replaced it, the one in every grocery store in America right now, including the one sitting in my kitchen, is being hunted by the exact same threat that killed the first one. It's not history. It's happening right now, and there's no backup plan waiting this time.

Until the 1950s, the banana Americans ate was not the Cavendish. It was a variety called Gros Michel (gro me-SHELL). French for "Big Mike." Gros Michel was thicker, sweeter, and more aromatic than the banana we know today. Its skin was tougher, which meant it could be shipped without the elaborate temperature controls Cavendish requires. It didn't need artificial ripening chambers. Growers loved it. Consumers loved it.

Then a fungus found it.

The fungus is called Fusarium oxysporum (few-ZAIR-ee-um ox-ee-SPORE-um), and the specific strain that went after Gros Michel is now called Tropical Race 1, or TR1. It lives in soil. It enters through a banana plant's roots, grows into the vascular tissue, and clogs the tubes that move water through the plant. The banana plant dies of thirst, standing up. The soil doesn't forget. Fungal spores can survive for decades, lying dormant, waiting for the next banana to show up. Once TR1 was in a plantation's dirt, that land was finished for Gros Michel.

The disease started in Panama in the 1890s, which is why it's called Panama disease. By the 1920s, it was spreading through Central America. By the 1950s, Gros Michel plantations across Latin America and the Caribbean had collapsed. The industry burned them and moved on, literally cutting down forests to plant fresh soil miles away. But the fungus followed. It always follows.

In 1923, a novelty song called "Yes, We Have No Bananas" became a massive hit. It was written after a Greek fruit stand owner in New York kept turning away customers with that exact phrase. The reason he had no bananas? Panama disease had disrupted supply chains years before the full collapse. So a song that sounds like a joke about grocery logistics was actually an early warning signal that a staple food crop was dying.

By the 1960s, Gros Michel was commercially extinct. You can still find a few plants in backyards in Florida and Southern California, and you can order them online from specialty growers. But at any meaningful scale, Big Mike was gone. The industry needed a new banana. They found one growing in a greenhouse in northern England.

In the early 1830s, William Cavendish, the sixth Duke of Devonshire, received a shipment of banana plants from Mauritius. He had them planted in the greenhouse at Chatsworth House. His head gardener, a man named Joseph Paxton (PAX-ton), spent years cultivating them until they fruited. Paxton named the new banana Musa cavendishii after his employer. For his efforts, he won a medal at the 1835 Royal Horticultural Society show. He later went on to design the Crystal Palace, the enormous glass exhibition hall built for the 1851 Great Exhibition in London, which is the kind of career pivot you don't really see anymore.

The Cavendish banana sat in botanical collections and missionary gardens for about a hundred years. It made its way to the Canary Islands, then to the Caribbean. Nobody was paying much attention to it. It was a curiosity. But when Gros Michel collapsed, the Cavendish had exactly one thing going for it that mattered more than taste or texture or anything else: it was resistant to TR1. The fungus in the soil that killed Big Mike left Cavendish alone.

Growers ripped out whatever Gros Michel plants remained and replanted with Cavendish. By the 1970s, the global banana trade was rebuilt around a single variety. Today, Cavendish accounts for 99 percent of banana exports. Fifty-five million tonnes a year.

Commercially grown bananas don't have seeds. They are sterile. They cannot reproduce sexually. Every new banana plant is a cutting from an existing plant. A clone. Genetically identical to its parent, which was genetically identical to its parent, all the way back to the greenhouse at Chatsworth House in the 1830s. The banana you ate this morning is, genetically, the same organism as the banana someone in London ate this morning. Identical twins, except there are billions of them. What afflicts one afflicts them all.

The fungus evolved.

A new strain of Fusarium appeared. Scientists call it Tropical Race 4, or TR4. It was first spotted in Taiwan in the 1970s, and for decades it was mostly a Southeast Asian problem. It slowly ate through Cavendish plantations in Indonesia, Malaysia, China, and the Philippines. In 2013, it jumped to Africa, found in Mozambique and Jordan. In 2015, it appeared in India and Pakistan. Between 2017 and 2019, it spread to Laos, Vietnam, Myanmar, and Thailand.

Then, in August 2019, TR4 was detected for the first time in Latin America: a banana plantation in the La Guajira (la gwah-HEE-rah) region of Colombia. This was the nightmare scenario. Four of the world's five largest banana exporters are in Latin America. Colombia declared a national state of emergency. In 2021, TR4 was confirmed in Peru. In 2023, Venezuela. There is no known way to kill this fungus. It behaves exactly like TR1. Enters through roots, clogs the vascular system, plant dies of thirst. Spores survive in soil for decades. The only containment strategy right now is quarantine: fence off infected land and never plant bananas there again.

A 2025 study of banana farms in Peru found that 45 percent had TR4. Ten percent of farms had been completely wiped out. Not reduced. Gone.

There is no Cavendish replacement waiting this time. When Gros Michel died, the industry just switched to Cavendish. When Cavendish goes, there is no obvious next banana. There are more than a thousand banana varieties in the world, but almost none of them have the shelf life, shipping durability, and uniform ripening profile that global supply chains are built around. Scientists have been searching for years. So far, nothing commercially viable has emerged.

A team at Queensland University of Technology in Australia may have found a different approach. In September 2025, Australia approved the world's first genetically modified banana for commercial production and consumption. It's called QCAV-4 (cue-cav-four). The researchers took a resistance gene from a wild banana variety that TR4 cannot kill and inserted it into Cavendish. In five years of field trials, plants infected with TR4 had disease rates of 66 to 84 percent in the unmodified controls. The QCAV-4 plants? Two percent infection. The modified plants were otherwise indistinguishable from regular Cavendish in bunch weight, yield, and growth cycle.

It's a working solution. Whether consumers and regulators around the world will accept it is a very different question. The same genetic modification techniques that produced QCAV-4 are used in crops people eat every day, but banana labeling doesn't work like soybean or corn labeling. Bananas are a raw fruit. People feel protective of them in a way they don't feel about processed ingredients.

There is a banana in my kitchen right now. It traveled thousands of miles in a temperature-controlled container to get to a grocery store in Santa Clara, and it cost about twenty-five cents. It is a clone of a plant that grew in a Duke's greenhouse while Queen Victoria was on the throne. It is the backup banana. And the fungus that killed the original already has its number. A team in Australia has built a version that can fight back, but nobody knows if the world will let them use it. Stay informed, stay curious, and we'll see you tomorrow.

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